Buhari has been running for president for the last 14 years.
Nevertheless, listening to his inaugural speech, it is clear he does not have a
clue what exactly to do when in office.
President Buhari tried to make us understand during the
presidential election campaign that he is not the Buhari we once knew. He even
went as far as wear an ill-fitting western suit and bow-tie to make us
appreciate fully his transformation. He went to Chatham House in far away
London to assure the world that, although 30 years ago he was a brutal military
dictator, he is now a turncoat democrat.
Once elected president, he dropped the title of General and
said we should now refer to him as Mr. President and not as General President.
Now he has delivered an inaugural speech in which he has again denied his old
self by contradicting his earlier postures, while proclaiming new persuasion to
democratic tenets.
Should those of us who remain Doubting Thomases finally
believe him? Has there indeed been a transmogrification of the old Buhari to a
new Buhari? With Yemi Osinbajo, a Redeemed pastor beside him as vice-president,
are we now to conclude that Buhari is a new creature in whom old things have
passed away, and behold, all things have become new? As far as I am concerned,
the jury is still out on this.
New wine in old bottle
Nevertheless, it is increasingly clear that there is an old
Buhari and a new Buhari. The old Buhari was an apostle of George Orwell’s
“1984.” But the new Buhari is a stickler for democratic niceties. While he
doctored judicial processes in 1984, the new Buhari now insists on executive
non-interference with the judiciary. While the old Buhari was the chief executive
and chief legislative officer combined, the new Buhari proclaims the sanctity
of the separation of powers.
While the old Buhari was guilty of the extra-judicial
killing through capricious retroactive decrees, the new Buhari laments the
extra-judicial killing of Mohammed Yusuf, the original Boko Haram leader. While
the old Buhari banned the Ooni of Ife and the Sultan of Sokoto from traveling
abroad for a season, the new Buhari immediately proclaimed on assuming office
that nobody should be barred from traveling abroad.
While Buhari declared ominously in his first interview in
1984 that: “I will tamper with the press;” the new Buhari is a promoter of
press freedom. Instead of issuing threats, he cajoles: “My appeal to the media
today – and this includes the social media – is to exercise its considerable
powers with responsibility and patriotism.”
At least on the rhetorical level, the inaugural proclaimed
this new Buhari, one now somewhat unrecognisable even to his closest
associates. This might be responsible for the recent debacle where his
overzealous spokesman, assuming business as usual, barred African Independent
Television (AIT) from covering his activities, only to be reversed by Buhari
himself who denied prior knowledge of the move.
Disappointment and disgruntlement
One thing is certain, the new Buhari will soon be a
disappointment to his teeming supporters. Many voted for him on the basis of
mythical tales of his past. What they want is the old Buhari who was a raging
bull. But what he revealed at his May 29th inaugural is a defanged Buhari, 30
years older and longer in the tooth. He is now as wise as a serpent and as
harmless as a dove. Barring any sudden chameleon-like change in the near
future, the “Sai Buhari brigade” will conclude it had been deceived.
The new Buhari is charitable. Opening his speech, he poured
encomiums on Jonathan, thanking him for: “his display of statesmanship in
setting a precedent for us that has now made our people proud to be Nigerians
wherever they are.” Indeed, Jonathan did what the old Buhari failed to do on
three different occasions; concede defeat at the polls.
The new Buhari will not go after his enemies, as the old
Buhari did to Umaru Dikko and Fela Anikulapo-Kuti. Instead, he will let bygones
be bygones. He said: “A few people have privately voiced fears that on coming
back to office I shall go after them. These fears are groundless. There will be
no paying off old scores. The past is prologue.”
However, Buhari’s supporters are not charitable. They have
no liking for Jonathan and don’t want any good word to be said about him. They
are baying for blood, determined that PDP stalwarts must end up in jail on
corruption charges; even if trumped up. They are already circling the wagons of
Deziani Alison-Madueke and Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala. Through clarion calls on social
media, they are telling those who did not vote for Buhari either go into exile
or hug the nearest electricity transformer to them.
Signs of betrayal
But Buhari says he will be as mindful of those who did not
vote for him as those who did. He declared grandiloquently: “I belong to
everybody and I belong to nobody.” This assertion is likely to infuriate his
South-West ACN supporters in particular. It is not far-fetched to insist the
statement is pointedly directed at Bola Tinubu. Yes, the born-to-rule Northern
cabal is also already claiming Buhari. But everyone knows they did not play a
prominent role in his campaign and election.
While Buhari might not be said to belong to Tinubu, there
can be no question that he owes his presidency to him. Without Tinubu, Buhari
would not have even secured the APC presidential nomination. Northern APC
members preferred Kwankwaso and Atiku to him. Therefore, this is a cynical time
to declare his graduation and independence.
Even Buhari’s wife, Aisha, admitted during the campaign that
her husband is indebted to Tinubu. She said: “My husband, General Muhammadu
Buhari, has been contesting presidential elections for over a decade now, but
this particular election is unique because our leader, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu,
jettisoned his personal interest for the sake of Nigeria.”
If Buhari were to distance himself from Tinubu, now that the
election is done and dusted, this will be viewed as a great betrayal. It will
lead to the fulfillment of our prophecy that the two of them are strange
bed-fellows engaged in a marriage of convenience that is bound to end in
divorce sooner than later.
End of “change”
But the greatest disappointment of all for Buhari’s
supporters must be the inaugural speech itself. Those who praised it were not
being candid. The truth of the matter is that the speech was sub-standard. It
did not even achieve the pass mark of the average inaugural speech; not to talk
of the speech that should be expected of a candidate who went round the country
proclaiming “Change, Change.”
The speech failed to identify any innovation to Nigerian’s
problems. The only discernible change in it is the strategic movement of the
military command centre against the Boko Haram insurgency from Abuja to
Maiduguri. In this, Buhari shows he is an astute general indeed. In effect,
those charged with directing the war can no longer be physically abstracted
from it.
Otherwise, it would appear that the much-touted change is
already over. What Buhari and the APC intended all along was just a change of
government. No more, no less. Now that this has been accomplished, we are back
to the humdrum and the mundane. Buhari has been running for president for the
last 14 years. Nevertheless, listening to his inaugural speech, it is clear
that he does not have a clue what exactly to do when in office. Either the APC
never really believed it would win the election, or it was too preoccupied with
winning to pay sufficient attention to what it would do in the unlikely event
that it won.
Buhari’s inaugural speech cannot raise the dead, which
abound, in Nigeria. Neither can it inspire the living. There is just nothing in
it but the same old, same old. Habakkuk says: “Write the vision and make it
plain on tablets, that he may run who reads it.” There is nothing to run with
in Buhari’s speech. Apart from “I belong to everybody and I belong to nobody,”
it was even lacking in sound-bites.
Not inspiring
Buhari himself is an uninspiring public-speaker. He is an
imposing personality, head and shoulders taller than everybody else. But at his
inaugural, he seemed tired and confused. The whole process seemed a distraction
to him. It looked like he would rather be somewhere else. Throughout, his mien
was sour and dour. Our new president needs to lighten the national mood by
learning to smile, even if occasionally.
Buhari blundered royally on protocol. He had to be prompted
to go round and greet the foreign dignitaries who came for his inauguration,
showing he had not been coached about this beforehand. He started his speech by
recognising himself, a very strange practice. He then recognised his wife
before the vice-president. But a president is not expected to recognise his own
wife. He then seemed to forget the name of the vice-president’s wife, referring
to her as his spouse. Such faux pas should not recur. The president needs to be
conversant with the protocol list.
We must soon come to terms with the fact that Buhari is not
a Maitama Sule or a Jerry Gana. He is not an orator. But on Friday, he even
seemed to be unfamiliar with his speech. Buhari might not have written his
speech, but it was imperative for him to own it. At the very least, he should
read his speeches and practice their delivery beforehand. It is embarrassing
that Buhari could not pronounce some of the words in his speech. That is
unacceptable for the president of Nigeria.
Delayed responses
I entirely agree with Lagos lawyer, Ebun-Olu-Adegboruwa, who
condemned the president’s speech, saying it was illusory and vague. He said:
“It would seem that the President is still on the soap box, whereby promises
and promises and intentions are the order. My expectation was that since March
28, 2015, when he won the election, General Buhari would have outlined his main
policy direction. But alas, that has not happened today”.
On the burning issue of petroleum shortage, Buhari offered
no definite solace. Part of the reason behind the fuel scarcity was the
uncertainty of marketers and banks about the incoming government’s position on
the question of petroleum subsidy. Should the new government be inclined to
jettison the scheme, the marketers wanted to get their outstanding money
beforehand or have assurances that they would be paid by the incoming
government in full.
Clearly, one of the things required here was some words from
the president about his position on this issue. But Buhari gave no indication.
Even in his inaugural, not a word was spoken that could calm the frayed nerves
of oil-marketers and the anxieties of “battle-weary” petrol-seeking Nigerians.
Lost opportunity
All-in-all, the inaugural was a lost opportunity. The
president lost the opportunity to ignite an agenda. There are difficult
decisions he needs to make that should have been broached in his speech. That
would give them momentum since he still has the wind behind his sails and this
is the dawn of his honeymoon period. However, he squandered this opportunity by
presenting a bland and vacuous speech.
He could have announced the removal of the petroleum subsidy
and gotten away with it. He could have announced a “Marshall Plan” for the
North-East and he would get the support of the new legislature. He could have
announced a call-to-arms for a return to agriculture, and that would become a
beacon of his presidency. He did nothing like this. He failed to understand
that a new president is only guaranteed a honeymoon of just 100 days.
President Buhari acknowledges that: “Nigeria has a window of
opportunity to fulfill our long-standing potential of pulling ourselves
together and realising our mission as a great nation.” However, instead of
getting down to work in order to capitalise on this “window of opportunity,”
the president declared a plan to go back to the drawing-boards.
On the NEPA situation, he declared: “Careful studies are
under way during this transition to identify the quickest, safest and most
cost-effective way to bring light and relief to Nigerians.” Careful studies?
Are we still at the stage of careful studies? During the campaign, Buhari
promised 20,000 megawatts of electricity by 2019. On what basis did he make
this promise if he is still at the stage of careful studies?
He says: “We shall quickly examine the best way to revive
major industries and accelerate the revival and development of our railways,
roads and general infrastructure.” This is disappointing. Buhari is still lost
at sea. Now that he has been elected president, he is going back to the
classroom. It seems he will use his first-term to study the problems of Nigeria
and then perhaps offer solutions for a possible second-term.
No foreign policy
Listening to Buhari’s inaugural speech, Nigeria has no
foreign policy. Scores of foreign dignitaries were in attendance; far more than
we have seen recently. Nevertheless, Buhari’s speech provides no cogent foreign
policy blueprint. You cannot get more pretentious than his assertion that: “Our
neighbours in the sub-region and our African brethren should rest assured that
Nigeria under our administration will be ready to play any leadership role that
Africa expects of it.”
This is nonsensical on several levels. It means Nigeria has
no foreign policy; therefore, its foreign policy apparatus can be readily lent
out to support ANY leadership role. It is also unrealistic to expect African
countries that have watched us in the past few days grind to a halt over
petroleum shortage be waiting to ascribe any leadership role to Nigeria. Who
made Nigeria a leader in Africa? How can we lead without direction? Buhari
supplied no answers.
The president further blundered by saying: “I would like to
thank the governments and people of Cameroon, Chad and Niger for committing
their armed forces to fight Boko Haram in Nigeria.” This is a slur on the
integrity of the Nigerian armed forces. Our sub-regional partners have not
committed their armed forces to fight Boko Haram in Nigeria. They have
committed their armed forces to fight Boko Haram in their own countries.
These countries delayed fighting Boko Haram until the
insurgency spilled over into their own countries as well. This has helped
Nigeria by foreclosing Boko Haram escape routes. But we have not been dependent
on them to fight Boko Haram on our behalf. Buhari’s statement is not going to
motivate the Nigerian army, which has recently been achieving great success
against the insurgency.
Talking to CNN after his election, Buhari said of the Boko
Haram: “We will deal effectively with them in two months when we get to
office.” He has since tried to back-pedal from this unrealistic deadline. But
at his inauguration, he made another promise likely to haunt him in the future.
He said: “We cannot claim to have defeated Boko Haram without rescuing the
Chibok girls and all other innocent persons held hostage by insurgents.”
He might come to regret saying this. Compare it with what he
said during the one-year anniversary of the Chibok kidnapping: “We do not know
if the Chibok girls can be rescued. Their whereabouts remain unknown. As much
as I wish to, I cannot promise that we can find them.” If the girls may not be
found, then according to his new position, Boko Haram will not be defeated.
New-style colonialism
Rather than thank the Nigerian army for its recent victories
against the Boko Haram, Buhari thanked Britain and the United States, countries
that refused to sell arms to Nigeria against the insurgents. He made our
foreign policy the appendage of the interests of these two Western countries.
Listen to him again: “I also wish to assure the wider international community
of our readiness to cooperate and help to combat threats of cross-border
terrorism, sea piracy, refugees and boat people, financial crime, cyber crime,
climate change, the spread of communicable diseases and other challenges of the
21st century.”
The issues listed here are those Buhari knows are of primary
interest to the West. Is Nigeria’s foreign policy now to be mortgaged to
Buhari’s new European and American friends?
Britain and the United States blatantly interfered in
Nigeria’s domestic affairs on behalf of Buhari and the APC during the
elections. Not minding their business, they complained about the postponement
of the election, in spite of the fact that it was done lawfully and was
necessary because INEC was not ready. They interfered by making insulting
statements while the votes were still being tallied, insisting that the
election must not be rigged. The United States then added insult to injury by
decorating Attahiru Jega with some ridiculous award immediately the election
was declared in favour of Buhari.
National integration
The president told CNN in April, 2015: “The actual division
(in Nigeria) that I think is worth bothering about is social instability, that is,
insecurity, in the North East and the Delta area.” He is highly mistaken. The
major problem of Nigeria is lack of national integration which goes beyond the
North-East and the Niger-Delta. Nigeria is divided between North and South. We
are divided between East and West. The Niger Delta used to be in alliance with
the North. However, the way the campaign against Jonathan was conducted and the
manner by which APC secured its victory against the PDP has driven a wedge
between the South-South and the North.
Nigeria is divided up North between Christians and Moslems.
The APC campaigned on Nigeria’s secularity in the South. But up North, the
message was loud and clear: Jonathan must go because he is not a Muslim and a
Northerner. It is all well and good for Buhari to say Boko Haram is not true
Islam. But there can be no question that Boko Haram set out to destroy
Christians and Christianity in the North. The evidence is in the overwhelming
number of churches it has destroyed.
Even Buhari’s early approach to the Boko Haram insurgency
itself was divisive. He saw the conflict through regional goggles, claiming
that it was an insidious attempt by the South to undermine the North. Some of
his Northern cheer-leaders still hold this position. Recently, Junaid Mohammed said
Goodluck Jonathan was behind Boko Haram. He said: “Some of them were sponsored
by the government while others were sponsored by Niger-Delta militants to
destabilise the North.”
Problem with APC
Buhari needs to be a quick learner because he still does not
get it. As presently constituted, APC itself is a big problem for Nigeria. The
election it won constitutes a major threat to Nigerian democracy. APC is a
sectarian party that effectively divided Nigeria along regional lines. A
situation where PDP could not campaign in the North without threats, blackmail
and even violence, while APC campaigned without hindrance everywhere in the
South does not augur well for Nigerian democracy. There must be a level playing
field for all candidates everywhere if true democracy is to flourish.
In the North, PDP billboards were destroyed. PDP buses were
fire-bombed. PDP chieftains were threatened. President Jonathan’s campaign
train was stoned. The intimidation has not stopped. Even after the elections,
PDP chieftains, like Babangida Aliyu, were stoned during their handover of
power to successor APC governors. APC supporters even disrupted the swearing-in
ceremony of their own governor-elect in Kaduna. Buhari cannot keep mum while
his “people” and supporters continue to be trouble-makers. The case of the
murderous Fulani herdsmen is yet another case in point.
He cannot talk about change without confronting the national
question. That is the centrepoint of the call for a national conference.
Nigeria cannot move forward until we come to a definite agreement as to the
terms of membership in Nigeria, of its constituent federations and
nationalities. A situation where states gather every month in Abuja to receive
handouts from the proceeds of an enclave oil sector is a recipe for national
unproductivity. It also provides the fodder for endemic corruption because the
oil proceeds are deemed to belong to everybody and to nobody.
Epilogue
Buhari ended his inaugural with a big blunder. He decided to
quote Shakespeare’s Julius Ceasar: “There is a tide in the affairs of men
which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune; omitted, all the voyage of
their life, is bound in shallows and miseries.” When I heard this, I was
flabbergasted. We might as well have started off the inauguration with the
British national anthem as well.
At the inauguration of a new Nigerian Head of State, watched
the world over, Buhari could not find a Nigerian to quote. He could not quote a
Wole Soyinka, a Chinua Achebe, or even a Maitama Sule. Instead, he sought
refuge in William Shakespeare. It seems to me the British are back at the helm
in Nigeria.
Buhari pleaded with Nigerians for patience to fulfil his
vague mandate. Indeed, it can be argued that, for Buhari and the APC, the
mantra is no longer “Change” but “Patience.” But in the cynical words of an
intrepid blogger: “We are not going to be patient with the president. That
would be adulterous. Patience is married to Jonathan and has left Abuja for
Otuoke. The president should be satisfied with Aisha
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Nice piece.
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